Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000627 0.000712 0.000802 0.000904 0.001016 0.001135 0.001272
2025-12-21 0.000483 0.000599 0.000729 0.000887 0.001070 0.001277 0.001526
2025-12-28 0.000424 0.000557 0.000713 0.000909 0.001147 0.001424 0.001768
2026-01-04 0.000375 0.000518 0.000694 0.000922 0.001208 0.001549 0.001985
2026-01-11 0.000328 0.000475 0.000663 0.000915 0.001238 0.001636 0.002154
2026-01-18 0.000289 0.000438 0.000635 0.000906 0.001264 0.001713 0.002311
2026-01-25 0.000262 0.000415 0.000622 0.000914 0.001309 0.001815 0.002500
2026-02-01 0.000237 0.000391 0.000605 0.000915 0.001343 0.001901 0.002669
2026-02-08 0.000207 0.000356 0.000569 0.000888 0.001337 0.001933 0.002767
2026-02-15 0.000182 0.000326 0.000540 0.000866 0.001336 0.001970 0.002870
2026-02-22 0.000165 0.000307 0.000524 0.000861 0.001356 0.002035 0.003013
2026-03-01 0.000150 0.000291 0.000510 0.000859 0.001380 0.002105 0.003163
2026-03-08 0.000135 0.000271 0.000491 0.000848 0.001391 0.002159 0.003292
2026-03-15 0.000120 0.000252 0.000470 0.000833 0.001396 0.002202 0.003408
2026-03-22 0.000114 0.000247 0.000473 0.000855 0.001454 0.002324 0.003637
2026-03-29 0.000107 0.000240 0.000470 0.000867 0.001499 0.002426 0.003840
2026-04-05 0.000097 0.000226 0.000456 0.000860 0.001513 0.002484 0.003980
2026-04-12 0.000088 0.000213 0.000442 0.000852 0.001525 0.002538 0.004115
2026-04-19 0.000082 0.000206 0.000437 0.000859 0.001562 0.002630 0.004307
2026-04-26 0.000076 0.000197 0.000429 0.000860 0.001588 0.002705 0.004475
2026-05-03 0.000066 0.000181 0.000407 0.000834 0.001569 0.002711 0.004539
2026-05-10 0.000059 0.000168 0.000388 0.000814 0.001557 0.002727 0.004619
2026-05-17 0.000054 0.000159 0.000378 0.000809 0.001571 0.002783 0.004760